Robert Morris
NEC · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#80
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#94
−5.3 pts · likely #60–111
Strength of schedule
14.2
#124 of 128
Strength of victory
11.5
#78
Record SOS
0.339
Opp. 28.2% · Opp. opp. 45.4%
Remaining SOS
27.6
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Robert Morris. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Wagner | W 28-7 | −14.6 | +2.2 | 0.074 | 4 | +7.2 |
| 5 | vs Norfolk State | W 33-31 | −6.3 | −2.2 | 0.117 | 3 | −6.7 |
| 6 | at Morgan State | L 27-28 | −0.7 | +2.2 | 0.308 | 2 | −1.0 |
| 7 | vs New Haven | L 15-26 | −12.3 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.434
- Wk 10: at Duquesne · p 0.355
- Wk 11: vs Stonehill · p 0.172
- Wk 12: vs Long Island · p 0.141
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs West Virginia StateDII · W 29-9
- Wk 2: at AkronFBS · L 10-45
- Wk 4: at BuffaloFBS · L 28-31