Morgan State
MEAC · 4-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#47
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#76
−2.2 pts · likely #49–101
Strength of schedule
22.8
#105 of 128
Strength of victory
26.8
#39
Record SOS
0.446
Opp. 43.1% · Opp. opp. 47.8%
Remaining SOS
20.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at North Carolina A&T | W 17-7 | −6.9 | +2.2 | 0.178 | 3 | +4.5 |
| 3 | at Towson | W 41-26 | −0.7 | +2.2 | 0.306 | 2 | +14.8 |
| 5 | at Villanova | W 38-35 | +5.4 | +2.2 | 0.463 | 2 | +10.4 |
| 6 | vs Robert Morris | W 28-27 | −5.6 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs South Carolina State · p 0.277
- Wk 10: at Delaware State · p 0.181
- Wk 11: vs Norfolk State · p 0.121
- Wk 12: at North Carolina Central · p 0.222
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 7-70
- Wk 2: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 55-0