Howard
MEAC · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#46
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#75
−2.1 pts · likely #47–102
Strength of schedule
28.5
#77 of 128
Strength of victory
26.2
#41
Record SOS
0.547
Opp. 56.7% · Opp. opp. 50.9%
Remaining SOS
20.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Howard. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Alabama A&M | W 31-24 | +7.2 | 0.0 | 0.452 | 2 | +11.7 |
| 1 | vs Richmond | L 21-28 | +2.6 | −2.2 | 0.280 | 2 | −6.2 |
| 5 | vs (N) Hampton | W 27-13 | −20.7 | 0.0 | 0.022 | 4 | −5.8 |
| 6 | at Penn | L 20-24 | +1.6 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at North Carolina Central · p 0.222
- Wk 10: vs South Carolina State · p 0.277
- Wk 11: vs Delaware State · p 0.112
- Wk 12: at Norfolk State · p 0.194
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at IndianaFBS · L 0-55
- Wk 4: at RutgersFBS · L 7-58
- Wk 7: vs Morehouse CollegeDII · W 31-17