Tennessee State
OVC · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#107
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#109
−8.6 pts · likely #79–117
Strength of schedule
24.7
#97 of 128
Strength of victory
18.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.481
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 44.2%
Remaining SOS
28.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-3
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Jackson State | L 24-26 | +0.1 | −2.2 | 0.224 | 3 | −4.5 |
| 2 | at Alabama A&M | L 3-30 | +3.3 | +2.2 | 0.407 | 2 | −20.1 |
| 3 | at Florida A&M | W 29-26 | −9.8 | +2.2 | 0.131 | 3 | −4.8 |
| 5 | at Western Illinois | L 21-28 | +0.9 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Lindenwood · p 0.381
- Wk 10: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.324
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.142
- Wk 12: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.307
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at GeorgiaFBS · L 3-63