UT Martin
OVC · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#79
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#74
−2.0 pts · likely #47–101
Strength of schedule
23.9
#99 of 128
Strength of victory
14.3
#68
Record SOS
0.394
Opp. 33.2% · Opp. opp. 51.9%
Remaining SOS
30.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UT Martin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Central Arkansas | L 24-36 | −5.0 | −2.2 | 0.135 | 3 | −16.1 |
| 1 | vs Chicago State | W 42-7 | −19.3 | −2.2 | 0.019 | 4 | +12.5 |
| 4 | at Austin Peay | L 12-35 | +11.6 | +2.2 | 0.630 | 1 | −8.8 |
| 6 | at Tennessee State | W 42-28 | −7.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.142
- Wk 10: at Charleston Southern · p 0.351
- Wk 11: vs Lindenwood · p 0.272
- Wk 12: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.440
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at West VirginiaFBS · L 7-52
- Wk 3: at MemphisFBS · L 21-45