Villanova
Patriot · 4-3 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#65
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#39
+5.2 pts · likely #21–65
Strength of schedule
25.4
#91 of 128
Strength of victory
29.1
#32
Record SOS
0.476
Opp. 47.0% · Opp. opp. 48.7%
Remaining SOS
27.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Bucknell | W 17-16 | −13.3 | +2.2 | 0.087 | 4 | −8.4 |
| 1 | vs William & Mary | L 32-35 | −8.7 | −2.2 | 0.088 | 4 | −11.1 |
| 3 | at Long Island | W 20-16 | −4.9 | +2.2 | 0.214 | 3 | +2.0 |
| 4 | vs Colgate | L 21-28 | +6.0 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Lafayette · p 0.320
- Wk 10: vs Richmond · p 0.295
- Wk 11: at Holy Cross · p 0.367
- Wk 12: vs Georgetown · p 0.135
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at LouisvilleFBS · L 13-59