Fordham
Patriot · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-7 overall
Strength of record
#93
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#103
−7.0 pts · likely #72–114
Strength of schedule
35.2
#45 of 128
Strength of victory
29.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.570
Opp. 61.2% · Opp. opp. 48.8%
Remaining SOS
20.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Fordham. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Colgate | L 14-24 | +7.0 | −2.2 | 0.387 | 2 | −6.5 |
| 3 | at William & Mary | W 52-27 | −3.0 | +2.2 | 0.255 | 2 | +21.2 |
| 4 | vs Stony Brook | L 16-31 | +5.3 | −2.2 | 0.344 | 2 | −11.5 |
| 5 | at Lehigh | L 0-34 | +13.6 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Bucknell · p 0.107
- Wk 11: vs Georgetown · p 0.135
- Wk 12: at Holy Cross · p 0.367
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at North Dakota StateFBS · L 0-38
- Wk 2: at Coastal CarolinaFBS · L 7-45