Lafayette
Patriot · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#83
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#59
+0.6 pts · likely #36–88
Strength of schedule
19.0
#116 of 128
Strength of victory
14.1
#72
Record SOS
0.469
Opp. 46.1% · Opp. opp. 48.4%
Remaining SOS
39.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Lafayette. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Marist | W 13-9 | −7.7 | −2.2 | 0.099 | 4 | −5.5 |
| 3 | at Columbia | L 34-40 OT | −5.2 | +2.2 | 0.208 | 3 | −5.4 |
| 4 | vs Holy Cross | L 30-38 | +0.6 | −2.2 | 0.235 | 3 | −7.5 |
| 5 | vs Richmond | L 31-40 | +2.2 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Villanova · p 0.309
- Wk 10: at William & Mary · p 0.183
- Wk 11: at Colgate · p 0.503
- Wk 12: vs Lehigh · p 0.598
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UConnFBS · L 7-56