Marist
Pioneer · 3-4 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#110
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#105
−7.4 pts · likely #72–114
Strength of schedule
14.2
#123 of 128
Strength of victory
7.9
#84
Record SOS
0.409
Opp. 36.8% · Opp. opp. 48.9%
Remaining SOS
8.5
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-3
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Marist. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at New Haven | L 21-22 | −10.2 | +2.2 | 0.125 | 3 | −8.7 |
| 2 | at Lafayette | L 9-13 | +0.7 | +2.2 | 0.340 | 2 | −1.2 |
| 4 | vs Presbyterian | W 42-7 | −9.3 | −2.2 | 0.082 | 4 | +20.7 |
| 5 | at Stetson | W 28-14 | −24.5 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at San Diego · p 0.130
- Wk 10: vs Morehead State · p 0.006
- Wk 11: vs Butler · p 0.194
- Wk 12: at Davidson · p 0.008
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Franklin PierceDII · W 27-18