Merrimack
FCS Indep. · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#73
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#91
−4.8 pts · likely #61–108
Strength of schedule
33.8
#50 of 128
Strength of victory
13.1
#75
Record SOS
0.469
Opp. 43.9% · Opp. opp. 53.0%
Remaining SOS
23.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Rhode Island | L 7-34 | +3.0 | −2.2 | 0.289 | 2 | −23.7 |
| 2 | at Maine | W 23-14 | −8.5 | +2.2 | 0.151 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 3 | at Tarleton State | L 20-45 | +16.3 | +2.2 | 0.742 | 1 | −5.6 |
| 4 | vs New Haven | W 17-10 | −10.0 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Wagner · p 0.029
- Wk 11: at Monmouth · p 0.524
- Wk 12: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.145
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at DelawareFBS · L 7-42