Tarleton State
UAC · 7-0 vs FCS · 8-0 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 11% of the time
Power
#8
+17.2 pts · likely #3–18
Strength of schedule
23.6
#100 of 128
Strength of victory
23.6
#49
Record SOS
0.435
Opp. 38.2% · Opp. opp. 54.2%
Remaining SOS
33.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Prairie View A&M | W 49-30 | −2.8 | −2.2 | 0.171 | 3 | +14.1 |
| 2 | at McNeese | W 27-24 | −5.7 | +2.2 | 0.198 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 3 | vs Merrimack | W 45-20 | −5.4 | −2.2 | 0.129 | 3 | +18.0 |
| 5 | vs Chicago State | W 56-21 | −22.2 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.200
- Wk 10: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.411
- Wk 11: at West Florida · p 0.335
- Wk 12: at North Alabama · p 0.406
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Bowling GreenFBS · W 20-13