Yale
Ivy · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#54
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#32
+6.6 pts · likely #17–60
Strength of schedule
33.1
#54 of 128
Strength of victory
30.2
#28
Record SOS
0.510
Opp. 48.3% · Opp. opp. 56.4%
Remaining SOS
41.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Yale. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Holy Cross | W 38-28 | +2.8 | +2.2 | 0.394 | 2 | +14.9 |
| 4 | at Cornell | L 25-38 | +5.5 | +2.2 | 0.466 | 2 | −4.2 |
| 5 | vs Merrimack | W 41-24 | −5.2 | −2.2 | 0.133 | 3 | +10.0 |
| 6 | vs Dartmouth | W 28-7 | +6.7 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Columbia · p 0.224
- Wk 10: vs Brown · p 0.333
- Wk 11: vs Princeton · p 0.366
- Wk 12: vs (N) Harvard · p 0.721