Central Connecticut State
NEC · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#41
A #25-level team matches it 82% of the time
Power
#42
+4.5 pts · likely #20–70
Strength of schedule
38.5
#34 of 128
Strength of victory
9.7
#80
Record SOS
0.442
Opp. 39.5% · Opp. opp. 53.6%
Remaining SOS
21.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at South Dakota | L 20-59 | +17.5 | +2.2 | 0.768 | 1 | −13.9 |
| 3 | at Montana State | L 30-35 | +23.1 | +2.2 | 0.867 | 1 | +18.3 |
| 5 | vs Wagner | W 45-14 | −15.2 | −2.2 | 0.036 | 4 | +12.9 |
| 7 | at Mercyhurst | W 43-40 | −7.1 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Robert Morris · p 0.139
- Wk 10: at Stonehill · p 0.261
- Wk 11: at Long Island · p 0.221
- Wk 12: vs Duquesne · p 0.250
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at ToledoFBS · L 10-63
- Wk 6: vs American InternationalDII · W 51-14