South Dakota
MVFC · 7-1 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#5
A #25-level team matches it 5.9% of the time
Power
#5
+18.9 pts · likely #2–14
Strength of schedule
41.9
#23 of 128
Strength of victory
35.7
#9
Record SOS
0.538
Opp. 52.6% · Opp. opp. 56.1%
Remaining SOS
69.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
5-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 59-20 | +7.5 | −2.2 | 0.400 | 2 | +37.4 |
| 1 | at Northern Colorado | W 38-23 | −0.4 | +2.2 | 0.313 | 2 | +16.3 |
| 2 | vs Eastern Washington | W 41-23 | +1.8 | −2.2 | 0.262 | 2 | +17.0 |
| 4 | at Youngstown State | L 28-47 | +22.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at South Dakota State · p 0.823
- Wk 11: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.489
- Wk 12: at Illinois State · p 0.757
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Boise StateFBS · L 24-38