North Dakota
MVFC · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#13
A #25-level team matches it 27% of the time
Power
#6
+17.8 pts · likely #3–17
Strength of schedule
40.0
#29 of 128
Strength of victory
30.5
#27
Record SOS
0.551
Opp. 56.1% · Opp. opp. 52.9%
Remaining SOS
65.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Long Island | W 42-21 | −5.2 | −2.2 | 0.133 | 3 | +14.7 |
| 1 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | W 62-26 | +2.5 | −2.2 | 0.277 | 2 | +33.8 |
| 2 | at Portland State | W 47-23 | −2.1 | +2.2 | 0.274 | 2 | +22.8 |
| 4 | at Indiana State | W 42-35 | +0.3 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.879
- Wk 10: vs Illinois State · p 0.653
- Wk 12: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.435
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at NebraskaFBS · L 7-34