Murray State
MVFC · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-7 overall
Strength of record
#105
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#114
−11.3 pts · likely #92–120
Strength of schedule
48.4
#7 of 128
Strength of victory
6.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.551
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 48.8%
Remaining SOS
60.2
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 14-28 | −5.8 | −2.2 | 0.124 | 3 | −20.9 |
| 2 | vs Valparaiso | W 27-18 | −11.6 | −2.2 | 0.061 | 4 | −5.2 |
| 4 | vs Southern Illinois | L 6-46 | +6.8 | −2.2 | 0.381 | 2 | −28.7 |
| 5 | at North Dakota | L 28-55 | +18.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Illinois State · p 0.757
- Wk 10: vs Youngstown State · p 0.806
- Wk 11: at Indiana State · p 0.356
- Wk 12: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.489
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Middle TennesseeFBS · L 14-38
- Wk 3: at Oklahoma StateFBS · L 0-59