South Dakota State
MVFC · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#6
A #25-level team matches it 8.0% of the time
Power
#4
+19.9 pts · likely #2–13
Strength of schedule
38.4
#35 of 128
Strength of victory
32.2
#21
Record SOS
0.497
Opp. 47.6% · Opp. opp. 53.7%
Remaining SOS
53.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Stetson | W 70-7 | −26.1 | −2.2 | 0.006 | 4 | +8.3 |
| 2 | vs New Haven | W 57-14 | −9.7 | −2.2 | 0.078 | 4 | +23.0 |
| 3 | vs Youngstown State | W 27-20 | +25.1 | −2.2 | 0.827 | 1 | +27.9 |
| 4 | vs Eastern Illinois | W 42-7 | −3.5 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs South Dakota · p 0.717
- Wk 10: at Northern Iowa · p 0.609
- Wk 11: at Southern Illinois · p 0.556
- Wk 12: vs Indiana State · p 0.250
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at NorthwesternFBS · L 18-34