Youngstown State
MVFC · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#1
A #25-level team matches it 4.8% of the time
Power
#1
+23.1 pts · likely #1–8
Strength of schedule
48.7
#6 of 128
Strength of victory
43.4
#5
Record SOS
0.561
Opp. 57.2% · Opp. opp. 54.0%
Remaining SOS
48.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Youngstown State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mercyhurst | W 43-10 | −5.9 | −2.2 | 0.123 | 3 | +24.6 |
| 2 | vs Duquesne | W 70-13 | +3.5 | −2.2 | 0.300 | 2 | +34.9 |
| 3 | at South Dakota State | L 20-27 | +19.3 | +2.2 | 0.802 | 1 | +15.1 |
| 4 | vs South Dakota | W 47-28 | +21.2 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs North Dakota · p 0.682
- Wk 10: at Murray State · p 0.106
- Wk 11: vs Illinois State · p 0.653
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at KentuckyFBS · L 13-45