Southern Illinois
MVFC · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#35
A #25-level team matches it 74% of the time
Power
#23
+8.5 pts · likely #14–48
Strength of schedule
46.5
#13 of 128
Strength of victory
30.7
#25
Record SOS
0.564
Opp. 58.2% · Opp. opp. 52.9%
Remaining SOS
62.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Samford | W 22-18 | −3.8 | +2.2 | 0.237 | 3 | +2.9 |
| 1 | at West Florida | L 31-34 | −1.0 | +2.2 | 0.300 | 2 | −1.5 |
| 2 | vs Southeast Missouri State | W 34-20 | +5.5 | −2.2 | 0.349 | 2 | +16.3 |
| 4 | at Murray State | W 46-6 | −9.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Indiana State · p 0.356
- Wk 11: vs South Dakota State · p 0.733
- Wk 12: at North Dakota · p 0.782
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at IllinoisFBS · L 10-48