Samford
Southern · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#85
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#82
−3.2 pts · likely #54–105
Strength of schedule
41.5
#25 of 128
Strength of victory
20.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.493
Opp. 48.4% · Opp. opp. 51.1%
Remaining SOS
45.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern Illinois | L 18-22 | +9.5 | −2.2 | 0.454 | 2 | +2.3 |
| 1 | vs (N) North Alabama | L 10-22 | +2.4 | 0.0 | 0.328 | 2 | −9.1 |
| 2 | at Tennessee Tech | L 19-45 | +12.8 | +2.2 | 0.659 | 1 | −11.0 |
| 4 | vs VMI | W 45-7 | −21.9 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Wofford · p 0.333
- Wk 10: at East Tennessee State · p 0.620
- Wk 11: vs Western Carolina · p 0.404
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 5: at UABFBS · L 14-33