Chattanooga
Southern · 5-3 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#29
A #25-level team matches it 65% of the time
Power
#20
+10.1 pts · likely #11–43
Strength of schedule
38.0
#36 of 128
Strength of victory
33.5
#17
Record SOS
0.509
Opp. 48.2% · Opp. opp. 56.2%
Remaining SOS
27.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Chattanooga. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at West Georgia | W 24-10 | −2.6 | +2.2 | 0.262 | 2 | +13.1 |
| 1 | vs Tennessee Tech | L 9-24 | +12.1 | −2.2 | 0.523 | 1 | −4.4 |
| 2 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 17-22 | −3.0 | +2.2 | 0.254 | 2 | −4.0 |
| 3 | vs Wofford | W 41-7 | +8.4 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs VMI · p 0.009
- Wk 10: vs Mercer · p 0.471
- Wk 11: at Furman · p 0.342