Western Carolina
Southern · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#51
A #25-level team matches it 89% of the time
Power
#30
+6.8 pts · likely #17–58
Strength of schedule
43.2
#20 of 128
Strength of victory
31.7
#22
Record SOS
0.642
Opp. 74.4% · Opp. opp. 43.9%
Remaining SOS
26.4
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eastern Kentucky | W 45-21 | +0.6 | −2.2 | 0.235 | 3 | +20.6 |
| 1 | at Campbell | L 19-28 | +8.4 | +2.2 | 0.544 | 1 | +1.5 |
| 3 | vs Presbyterian | W 58-14 | −11.2 | −2.2 | 0.064 | 4 | +20.7 |
| 4 | at East Tennessee State | L 31-58 | +8.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Furman · p 0.342
- Wk 10: vs Wofford · p 0.333
- Wk 11: at Samford · p 0.254
- Wk 12: vs The Citadel · p 0.127
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at CincinnatiFBS · L 10-62