East Tennessee State
Southern · 5-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#15
A #25-level team matches it 43% of the time
Power
#16
+11.4 pts · likely #8–40
Strength of schedule
28.8
#76 of 128
Strength of victory
26.9
#38
Record SOS
0.461
Opp. 40.2% · Opp. opp. 57.7%
Remaining SOS
44.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Campbell | L 37-49 | +6.9 | −2.2 | 0.384 | 2 | −5.8 |
| 3 | vs West Georgia | W 35-27 | −4.7 | −2.2 | 0.140 | 3 | +2.7 |
| 4 | vs Western Carolina | W 58-31 | +10.5 | −2.2 | 0.479 | 2 | +31.6 |
| 5 | vs Chattanooga | W 14-3 | +11.0 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.565
- Wk 10: vs Samford · p 0.167
- Wk 11: at Wofford · p 0.450
- Wk 12: at Mercer · p 0.592
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs TusculumDII · W 48-14
- Wk 2: at North CarolinaFBS · L 3-35