Portland State
Big Sky · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#58
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#83
−3.4 pts · likely #53–106
Strength of schedule
48.3
#8 of 128
Strength of victory
33.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.557
Opp. 59.9% · Opp. opp. 47.2%
Remaining SOS
50.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Portland State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs UC Davis | L 24-31 | +8.1 | −2.2 | 0.417 | 2 | −1.2 |
| 2 | vs North Dakota | L 23-47 | +17.6 | −2.2 | 0.666 | 1 | −8.4 |
| 4 | at Weber State | W 44-41 | +8.1 | +2.2 | 0.537 | 1 | +11.7 |
| 6 | vs Utah Tech | W 30-14 | −4.7 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Idaho · p 0.404
- Wk 10: at Montana · p 0.768
- Wk 11: vs Southern Utah · p 0.453
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.376
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San Diego StateFBS · L 20-53
- Wk 3: at OregonFBS · L 0-84