UC Davis
Big Sky · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#30
A #25-level team matches it 67% of the time
Power
#28
+8.0 pts · likely #15–53
Strength of schedule
29.2
#74 of 128
Strength of victory
19.3
#63
Record SOS
0.419
Opp. 35.6% · Opp. opp. 54.5%
Remaining SOS
33.4
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Portland State | W 31-24 | −3.2 | +2.2 | 0.250 | 2 | +5.8 |
| 1 | at San Diego | W 49-17 | −7.8 | +2.2 | 0.162 | 3 | +25.7 |
| 3 | vs Stetson | W 45-7 | −24.3 | −2.2 | 0.008 | 4 | +8.3 |
| 4 | vs Montana | L 22-62 | +13.8 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Weber State · p 0.490
- Wk 10: vs Utah Tech · p 0.119
- Wk 11: at Idaho · p 0.525
- Wk 12: vs Cal Poly · p 0.201
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at SMUFBS · L 10-56