Southern Utah
Big Sky · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#49
A #25-level team matches it 89% of the time
Power
#21
+9.9 pts · likely #11–45
Strength of schedule
43.2
#21 of 128
Strength of victory
34.4
#14
Record SOS
0.519
Opp. 54.5% · Opp. opp. 46.6%
Remaining SOS
25.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Utah. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Weber State | W 47-42 | +6.3 | −2.2 | 0.369 | 2 | +9.4 |
| 1 | at Montana | L 21-28 | +17.9 | +2.2 | 0.776 | 1 | +12.3 |
| 3 | at St. Thomas (MN) | L 26-28 | −1.3 | +2.2 | 0.293 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 4 | vs Idaho State | L 24-28 | +7.8 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.508
- Wk 10: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.222
- Wk 11: at Portland State · p 0.255
- Wk 12: vs Chicago State · p 0.013
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Colorado StateFBS · L 24-58