Idaho State
Big Sky · 4-3 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#56
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#22
+8.8 pts · likely #13–46
Strength of schedule
29.1
#75 of 128
Strength of victory
22.8
#51
Record SOS
0.458
Opp. 43.8% · Opp. opp. 49.9%
Remaining SOS
52.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs VMI | W 38-10 | −24.5 | −2.2 | 0.008 | 4 | +2.7 |
| 2 | vs San Diego | W 59-17 | −8.1 | −2.2 | 0.094 | 4 | +24.3 |
| 4 | at Southern Utah | W 28-24 | +10.4 | +2.2 | 0.599 | 1 | +16.1 |
| 5 | vs Northern Arizona | L 31-38 | +10.6 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Utah Tech · p 0.191
- Wk 10: vs Montana State · p 0.750
- Wk 11: at Montana · p 0.768
- Wk 12: vs Idaho · p 0.404
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Utah StateFBS · W 29-17