Weber State
Big Sky · 5-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#27
A #25-level team matches it 64% of the time
Power
#33
+6.6 pts · likely #19–57
Strength of schedule
38.7
#32 of 128
Strength of victory
30.6
#26
Record SOS
0.452
Opp. 42.1% · Opp. opp. 51.5%
Remaining SOS
38.6
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Weber State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Northern Colorado | W 30-29 | −0.5 | +2.2 | 0.312 | 2 | +2.3 |
| 1 | at Southern Utah | L 42-47 | +9.5 | +2.2 | 0.575 | 1 | +7.1 |
| 3 | vs Northwestern State | W 49-20 | −16.6 | −2.2 | 0.030 | 4 | +10.0 |
| 4 | vs Portland State | L 41-44 | −5.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs UC Davis · p 0.411
- Wk 11: at Northern Arizona · p 0.627
- Wk 12: vs Utah Tech · p 0.119
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at ColoradoFBS · L 21-52