Montana
Big Sky · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#19
A #25-level team matches it 54% of the time
Power
#9
+17.2 pts · likely #3–19
Strength of schedule
34.7
#48 of 128
Strength of victory
29.8
#30
Record SOS
0.491
Opp. 47.6% · Opp. opp. 52.2%
Remaining SOS
45.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern Utah | W 28-21 | +9.1 | −2.2 | 0.442 | 2 | +14.7 |
| 1 | vs Drake | W 45-10 | −9.1 | −2.2 | 0.084 | 4 | +23.6 |
| 2 | vs Utah Tech | W 35-14 | −6.8 | −2.2 | 0.111 | 3 | +13.2 |
| 4 | at UC Davis | W 62-22 | +11.5 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Eastern Washington · p 0.376
- Wk 10: vs Portland State · p 0.168
- Wk 11: vs Idaho State · p 0.433
- Wk 12: at Montana State · p 0.836
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Oregon StateFBS · L 17-52