South Dakota State
MVFC · 7-0 vs FCS · 7-0 overall
Strength of record
#1
A #25-level team matches it 0.8% of the time
Power
#3
+24.2 pts · likely #2–7
Strength of schedule
39.3
#23 of 129
Strength of victory
39.3
#3
Record SOS
0.595
Opp. 59.7% · Opp. opp. 59.2%
Remaining SOS
55.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Sacramento State | W 20-3 | +11.6 | −2.2 | 0.511 | 1 | +25.5 |
| 2 | at Montana State | W 30-24 OT | +27.1 | +2.2 | 0.917 | 1 | +31.5 |
| 3 | vs Drake | W 37-21 | +0.7 | −2.2 | 0.237 | 3 | +16.0 |
| 5 | vs Mercyhurst | W 51-7 | −1.9 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs North Dakota State · p 0.912
- Wk 10: vs Indiana State · p 0.171
- Wk 11: at South Dakota · p 0.576
- Wk 12: vs Illinois State · p 0.367
- Wk 13: at North Dakota · p 0.804
- Wk 14: vs New Hampshire · p 0.332
- Wk 15: at Montana · p 0.742