Mercyhurst
NEC · 3-5 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#67
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#81
−3.5 pts · likely #59–101
Strength of schedule
46.1
#10 of 129
Strength of victory
9.7
#67
Record SOS
0.546
Opp. 57.3% · Opp. opp. 49.1%
Remaining SOS
12.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercyhurst. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Youngstown State | L 15-24 | +10.4 | +2.2 | 0.598 | 1 | +2.6 |
| 2 | vs New Haven | W 48-14 | −10.5 | −2.2 | 0.070 | 4 | +18.3 |
| 3 | at Sacramento State | L 28-49 | +10.6 | +2.2 | 0.603 | 1 | −8.0 |
| 4 | at Montana State | L 0-17 | +28.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Stonehill · p 0.095
- Wk 11: at Saint Francis · p 0.050
- Wk 12: vs Robert Morris · p 0.057
- Wk 13: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.305