Sacramento State
Big Sky · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#28
A #25-level team matches it 59% of the time
Power
#19
+10.7 pts · likely #11–41
Strength of schedule
38.7
#25 of 129
Strength of victory
29.0
#21
Record SOS
0.584
Opp. 58.8% · Opp. opp. 57.5%
Remaining SOS
45.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at South Dakota State | L 3-20 | +24.1 | +2.2 | 0.881 | 1 | +9.4 |
| 3 | vs Mercyhurst | W 49-28 | −2.0 | −2.2 | 0.185 | 3 | +15.3 |
| 4 | vs Central Arkansas | W 45-16 | +5.3 | −2.2 | 0.345 | 2 | +29.9 |
| 5 | vs Cal Poly | L 24-32 | +2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Montana · p 0.634
- Wk 10: at Eastern Washington · p 0.398
- Wk 11: at Portland State · p 0.183
- Wk 12: vs Idaho · p 0.302
- Wk 13: at UC Davis · p 0.751
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at NevadaFBS · L 17-20