Central Arkansas
UAC · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#51
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#48
+3.2 pts · likely #27–74
Strength of schedule
39.3
#22 of 129
Strength of victory
19.1
#43
Record SOS
0.538
Opp. 55.8% · Opp. opp. 49.7%
Remaining SOS
44.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 41-17 | −18.8 | −2.2 | 0.021 | 4 | +3.3 |
| 3 | vs Tarleton State | L 10-56 | +20.4 | −2.2 | 0.733 | 1 | −15.2 |
| 4 | at Sacramento State | L 16-45 | +8.5 | +2.2 | 0.548 | 1 | −16.0 |
| 5 | at Lamar | L 32-35 | +6.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at West Georgia · p 0.470
- Wk 10: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.250
- Wk 11: at Austin Peay · p 0.524
- Wk 12: at Southern Utah · p 0.522
- Wk 13: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.480
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MissouriFBS · L 6-61