Arkansas-Pine Bluff
SWAC · 1-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#106
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#125
−18.4 pts · likely #112–127
Strength of schedule
17.4
#118 of 129
Strength of victory
8.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.365
Opp. 30.8% · Opp. opp. 47.8%
Remaining SOS
21.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Arkansas-Pine Bluff. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Central Arkansas | L 17-41 | +2.4 | +2.2 | 0.384 | 2 | −18.6 |
| 5 | vs (N) Alcorn State | W 24-20 | −11.5 | 0.0 | 0.082 | 4 | −8.4 |
| 6 | at Texas Southern | L 7-51 | −10.0 | +2.2 | 0.128 | 3 | −38.7 |
| 8 | vs Grambling State | L 16-20 | −7.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Bethune-Cookman · p 0.239
- Wk 10: vs Southern · p 0.036
- Wk 11: vs Florida A&M · p 0.063
- Wk 12: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.218
- Wk 13: at Alabama State · p 0.533
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Texas TechFBS · L 7-67
- Wk 3: vs Lincoln (CA)Non-NCAA · W 34-8