Tarleton State
UAC · 7-0 vs FCS · 8-0 overall
Strength of record
#6
A #25-level team matches it 9.2% of the time
Power
#4
+22.1 pts · likely #2–10
Strength of schedule
27.6
#83 of 129
Strength of victory
27.6
#25
Record SOS
0.426
Opp. 34.5% · Opp. opp. 58.7%
Remaining SOS
46.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Portland State | W 42-0 | −5.1 | +2.2 | 0.210 | 3 | +31.2 |
| 2 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 59-3 | −18.7 | −2.2 | 0.021 | 4 | +15.3 |
| 3 | at Central Arkansas | W 56-10 | +5.1 | +2.2 | 0.456 | 2 | +40.4 |
| 4 | vs Chattanooga | W 52-24 | −0.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.355
- Wk 10: at Abilene Christian · p 0.600
- Wk 12: vs North Alabama · p 0.175
- Wk 13: vs Austin Peay · p 0.404
- Wk 15: vs North Dakota · p 0.709
- Wk 17: vs Villanova · p 0.562
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArmyFBS · W 30-27