Mississippi Valley State
SWAC · 0-5 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#119
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#124
−17.5 pts · likely #111–127
Strength of schedule
38.4
#29 of 129
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.539
Opp. 60.0% · Opp. opp. 41.6%
Remaining SOS
25.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mississippi Valley State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern | L 29-34 | −16.2 | −2.2 | 0.031 | 4 | −22.8 |
| 2 | at Tarleton State | L 3-59 | +23.7 | +2.2 | 0.876 | 1 | −10.7 |
| 3 | at Southeastern Louisiana | L 3-56 | +15.3 | +2.2 | 0.719 | 1 | −17.8 |
| 5 | vs Texas Southern | L 20-23 | −5.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Alcorn State · p 0.087
- Wk 10: at Bethune-Cookman · p 0.239
- Wk 11: vs Jackson State · p 0.501
- Wk 12: vs Alabama State · p 0.412
- Wk 13: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.218
- Wk 14: vs Florida A&M · p 0.063
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 8: vs Lincoln (CA)Non-NCAA · W 49-0