Chattanooga
Southern · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#63
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#69
−0.3 pts · likely #43–92
Strength of schedule
35.9
#44 of 129
Strength of victory
15.7
#52
Record SOS
0.494
Opp. 51.7% · Opp. opp. 44.9%
Remaining SOS
34.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Chattanooga. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Tennessee Tech | L 17-45 | +14.1 | +2.2 | 0.693 | 1 | −10.1 |
| 3 | vs Stetson | W 63-0 | −24.7 | −2.2 | 0.007 | 4 | +7.1 |
| 4 | at Tarleton State | L 24-52 | +22.4 | +2.2 | 0.857 | 1 | −3.7 |
| 5 | vs The Citadel | L 10-28 | −5.2 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Samford · p 0.092
- Wk 10: vs Western Carolina · p 0.355
- Wk 11: vs Furman · p 0.178
- Wk 12: at Mercer · p 0.671
- Wk 13: at Wofford · p 0.406
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MemphisFBS · L 10-45