VMI
Southern · 0-5 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#119
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#120
−15.5 pts · likely #104–125
Strength of schedule
25.6
#93 of 129
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.379
Opp. 34.7% · Opp. opp. 44.3%
Remaining SOS
37.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against VMI. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Bucknell | L 28-35 | −7.0 | +2.2 | 0.175 | 3 | −12.5 |
| 4 | at Richmond | L 14-38 | +2.3 | +2.2 | 0.382 | 2 | −19.5 |
| 6 | vs Chattanooga | L 14-21 | −0.2 | −2.2 | 0.219 | 3 | −9.6 |
| 7 | at East Tennessee State | L 10-45 | +5.0 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Mercer · p 0.671
- Wk 10: at The Citadel · p 0.281
- Wk 11: vs Wofford · p 0.294
- Wk 12: at Furman · p 0.268
- Wk 13: vs Western Carolina · p 0.355
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at NavyFBS · L 7-52
- Wk 2: vs FerrumDII · W 42-7