Samford
Southern · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#111
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#111
−11.4 pts · likely #89–121
Strength of schedule
30.9
#66 of 129
Strength of victory
6.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.476
Opp. 45.6% · Opp. opp. 51.4%
Remaining SOS
37.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs West Georgia | L 3-34 | +3.8 | −2.2 | 0.306 | 2 | −29.3 |
| 2 | vs The Citadel | L 13-40 | −4.6 | −2.2 | 0.141 | 3 | −30.9 |
| 4 | at Western Carolina | L 35-50 | +6.5 | +2.2 | 0.494 | 2 | −6.1 |
| 5 | vs Furman | L 13-31 | −3.7 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Chattanooga · p 0.203
- Wk 10: at Wofford · p 0.406
- Wk 11: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.374
- Wk 12: at Austin Peay · p 0.524
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at BaylorFBS · L 7-42