Mercer
Southern · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#19
A #25-level team matches it 40% of the time
Power
#13
+13.9 pts · likely #7–29
Strength of schedule
30.3
#71 of 129
Strength of victory
31.5
#17
Record SOS
0.544
Opp. 54.2% · Opp. opp. 54.9%
Remaining SOS
28.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | L 10-15 | +0.9 | −2.2 | 0.242 | 3 | −4.1 |
| 3 | vs Wofford | W 22-21 | +1.5 | −2.2 | 0.254 | 2 | +2.1 |
| 4 | at The Citadel | W 38-0 | +1.6 | +2.2 | 0.364 | 2 | +35.6 |
| 5 | at East Tennessee State | W 38-34 | +6.4 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs VMI · p 0.034
- Wk 10: at Furman · p 0.268
- Wk 11: at Western Carolina · p 0.473
- Wk 12: vs Chattanooga · p 0.203
- Wk 15: vs South Dakota · p 0.455