Northern Colorado
Big Sky · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#59
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#67
+0.0 pts · likely #38–89
Strength of schedule
41.4
#18 of 129
Strength of victory
31.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.436
Opp. 40.3% · Opp. opp. 50.2%
Remaining SOS
49.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Colorado. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at South Dakota | L 17-24 OT | +10.8 | +2.2 | 0.607 | 1 | +9.1 |
| 4 | at Houston Christian | W 26-23 OT | −12.2 | +2.2 | 0.099 | 4 | −6.3 |
| 5 | vs Idaho State | L 18-26 | −2.0 | −2.2 | 0.185 | 3 | −9.7 |
| 7 | at Idaho | W 49-33 | +7.5 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs UC Davis · p 0.646
- Wk 10: vs Montana State · p 0.843
- Wk 11: at Northern Arizona · p 0.490
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.398
- Wk 13: vs Portland State · p 0.113
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Chadron StateDII · W 17-3
- Wk 2: at Colorado StateFBS · L 17-21