New Haven
NEC · 1-3 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#100
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#119
−13.4 pts · likely #95–124
Strength of schedule
26.3
#88 of 129
Strength of victory
10.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.409
Opp. 39.2% · Opp. opp. 44.2%
Remaining SOS
19.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against New Haven. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Marist | L 14-31 | −12.7 | +2.2 | 0.094 | 4 | −26.4 |
| 2 | at Mercyhurst | L 14-48 | −5.0 | +2.2 | 0.212 | 3 | −35.2 |
| 3 | at UAlbany | W 24-17 | −11.5 | +2.2 | 0.108 | 3 | −3.7 |
| 5 | at Duquesne | L 18-44 | +12.0 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Long Island · p 0.175
- Wk 10: at Sacred Heart · p 0.253
- Wk 11: vs Merrimack · p 0.158
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: vs Saginaw Valley StateDII · W 35-28
- Wk 6: vs PaceDII · W 28-14
- Wk 7: vs Western Connecticut StateDIII · W 69-0