Youngstown State
MVFC · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#20
A #25-level team matches it 42% of the time
Power
#25
+9.3 pts · likely #13–49
Strength of schedule
45.1
#12 of 129
Strength of victory
27.2
#26
Record SOS
0.561
Opp. 60.5% · Opp. opp. 47.4%
Remaining SOS
43.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Youngstown State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mercyhurst | W 24-15 | −3.3 | −2.2 | 0.163 | 3 | +3.3 |
| 2 | vs Robert Morris | W 56-17 | −10.0 | −2.2 | 0.075 | 4 | +21.4 |
| 4 | at Towson | W 31-28 | +1.1 | +2.2 | 0.350 | 2 | +6.6 |
| 6 | vs South Dakota State | L 30-35 | +25.4 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Murray State · p 0.084
- Wk 10: at North Dakota State · p 0.951
- Wk 11: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.585
- Wk 12: vs Indiana State · p 0.171
- Wk 13: at Northern Iowa · p 0.333
- Wk 14: vs Yale · p 0.474
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Michigan StateFBS · L 24-41