North Dakota
MVFC · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#9
A #25-level team matches it 15% of the time
Power
#5
+19.2 pts · likely #3–14
Strength of schedule
41.4
#19 of 129
Strength of victory
35.0
#8
Record SOS
0.526
Opp. 49.2% · Opp. opp. 59.4%
Remaining SOS
60.0
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Portland State | W 50-20 | −6.2 | −2.2 | 0.118 | 3 | +21.7 |
| 3 | at Montana | L 23-24 | +16.0 | +2.2 | 0.735 | 1 | +17.0 |
| 4 | vs Valparaiso | W 58-7 | −27.6 | −2.2 | 0.004 | 4 | +7.3 |
| 6 | at Northern Iowa | W 35-7 | +2.2 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Indiana State · p 0.171
- Wk 10: at South Dakota · p 0.576
- Wk 11: vs North Dakota State · p 0.912
- Wk 12: at Murray State · p 0.142
- Wk 13: vs South Dakota State · p 0.814
- Wk 14: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.727
- Wk 15: at Tarleton State · p 0.861
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 35-38