Valparaiso
Pioneer · 0-5 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#119
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#128
−25.5 pts · likely #124–129
Strength of schedule
34.9
#46 of 129
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.429
Opp. 46.0% · Opp. opp. 36.8%
Remaining SOS
16.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Western Illinois | L 30-51 | −9.4 | +2.2 | 0.136 | 3 | −27.3 |
| 4 | at North Dakota | L 7-58 | +21.2 | +2.2 | 0.838 | 1 | −13.6 |
| 6 | at Drake | L 0-41 | +1.3 | +2.2 | 0.355 | 2 | −30.5 |
| 7 | vs Dayton | L 10-41 | −8.6 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Morehead State · p 0.020
- Wk 10: at Presbyterian · p 0.425
- Wk 11: vs San Diego · p 0.167
- Wk 12: vs Stetson · p 0.006
- Wk 13: at Butler · p 0.204
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 67-10
- Wk 2: vs AdrianDIII · L 7-10