Drake
Pioneer · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#52
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#52
+2.3 pts · likely #31–81
Strength of schedule
34.0
#55 of 129
Strength of victory
9.0
#69
Record SOS
0.465
Opp. 43.3% · Opp. opp. 52.8%
Remaining SOS
22.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Drake. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at South Dakota State | L 21-37 | +25.5 | +2.2 | 0.899 | 1 | +10.4 |
| 4 | at South Dakota | L 21-42 | +7.9 | +2.2 | 0.532 | 1 | −8.9 |
| 6 | vs Valparaiso | W 41-0 | −24.5 | −2.2 | 0.008 | 4 | +7.3 |
| 7 | at San Diego | W 19-16 | −3.0 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Marist · p 0.113
- Wk 10: at Butler · p 0.204
- Wk 11: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.247
- Wk 12: at Dayton · p 0.187
- Wk 13: vs Morehead State · p 0.020
- Wk 14: at South Dakota · p 0.576
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Upper IowaDII · W 41-7