Dayton
Pioneer · 4-2 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#93
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#93
−6.0 pts · likely #64–111
Strength of schedule
7.1
#128 of 129
Strength of victory
4.2
#72
Record SOS
0.315
Opp. 22.2% · Opp. opp. 50.2%
Remaining SOS
21.2
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
4-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Eastern Illinois | L 14-24 | −8.6 | +2.2 | 0.148 | 3 | −15.2 |
| 4 | at Robert Morris | W 17-14 | −12.2 | +2.2 | 0.100 | 4 | −6.1 |
| 5 | vs Stetson | W 48-14 | −24.1 | −2.2 | 0.008 | 4 | +6.1 |
| 6 | at Morehead State | W 35-28 | −19.5 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Presbyterian · p 0.311
- Wk 10: at San Diego · p 0.254
- Wk 12: vs Drake · p 0.270
- Wk 13: at Davidson · p 0.016
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Thomas More CollegeDII · W 38-0