St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 3-3 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#94
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#60
+0.8 pts · likely #37–85
Strength of schedule
17.8
#117 of 129
Strength of victory
10.7
#66
Record SOS
0.370
Opp. 28.9% · Opp. opp. 53.3%
Remaining SOS
34.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lindenwood | W 35-13 | +3.2 | −2.2 | 0.293 | 2 | +19.9 |
| 2 | at Idaho | L 30-37 | +3.2 | +2.2 | 0.404 | 2 | −1.5 |
| 5 | at San Diego | L 27-30 | −3.7 | +2.2 | 0.239 | 3 | −3.9 |
| 6 | vs Butler | L 14-21 OT | −7.3 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Stetson · p 0.013
- Wk 10: vs Marist · p 0.065
- Wk 11: at Drake · p 0.379
- Wk 12: vs Presbyterian · p 0.311
- Wk 13: at North Dakota State · p 0.951
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Northern MichiganDII · W 20-7