Western Illinois
OVC · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-7 overall
Strength of record
#116
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#105
−8.6 pts · likely #79–116
Strength of schedule
30.4
#70 of 129
Strength of victory
0.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.428
Opp. 40.6% · Opp. opp. 47.2%
Remaining SOS
23.5
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Valparaiso | W 51-30 | −25.0 | −2.2 | 0.007 | 4 | −6.7 |
| 4 | at Eastern Washington | L 31-52 | +1.8 | +2.2 | 0.370 | 2 | −15.3 |
| 5 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 23-31 | −8.6 | −2.2 | 0.089 | 4 | −17.7 |
| 6 | at Tennessee Tech | L 20-66 | +14.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Tennessee State · p 0.167
- Wk 11: vs Lindenwood · p 0.218
- Wk 12: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.266
- Wk 13: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.290
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at IllinoisFBS · L 3-52
- Wk 2: at NorthwesternFBS · L 7-42