Towson
CAA · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#60
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#55
+1.3 pts · likely #35–85
Strength of schedule
30.7
#68 of 129
Strength of victory
15.0
#53
Record SOS
0.386
Opp. 35.0% · Opp. opp. 45.7%
Remaining SOS
28.1
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Norfolk State | W 27-7 | −10.9 | +2.2 | 0.115 | 3 | +10.3 |
| 2 | at Morgan State | W 27-22 | −5.4 | +2.2 | 0.204 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 4 | vs Youngstown State | L 28-31 | +10.0 | −2.2 | 0.467 | 2 | +4.1 |
| 5 | at Bryant | W 26-24 | −9.8 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Stony Brook · p 0.475
- Wk 10: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.131
- Wk 11: vs Villanova · p 0.562
- Wk 12: at UAlbany · p 0.088
- Wk 13: vs Campbell · p 0.151
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at MarylandFBS · L 17-44